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Population and Household Projections

Population and Household Projections for Swansea (Welsh Government, 2014-based).

Population projections provide estimates of the size of the future population based on assumptions on births, deaths and migration derived from past trends.

The Welsh Government published trend-based population projections for Wales' 22 local authorities for the first time in June 2008. These projections were 2006-based and covered the 25-year period to 2031. 

In September 2016, the Welsh Government's Knowledge and Analytical Services Directorate produced 2014-based population projections for local authorities in Wales. These projections incorporate the results of the 2011 Census and associated mid-year estimates, together with the latest revised population estimates and components of change data.

A PDF Document briefing note (PDF, 200KB)Opens new window is available which provides an overview of the latest Welsh Government population projections and the key results for Swansea. The note also incorporates the variant population projections published by the Welsh Government in October 2016.

Household Projections

In March 2017, the Welsh Government published 2014-based household projections for local authorities in Wales. The household projections are derived from the 2014-based population projections, and assumptions about future changes in household composition and size, which incorporate data from the latest Census. A PDF Document briefing note (PDF, 163KB)Opens new window on the latest household projections is also available.

Further information on these population and household projections is also available via the Welsh Government's 'Statistics and Research'Opens new window pages. If you have any enquiries regarding this information, or require further demographic statistics for Swansea, please contact us.

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